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Chase targets
Where to stage todayCAPE × shear × jet · ranked composite
Each region is scored on convective potential (Stormfront CAPE / shear) joined with wind atlas data (deep bulk shear, directional shear, jet streak). CAPE gates the score — without instability, no shear environment matters. Tap a marker for the headline; scroll for full per-target detail.
computed · 13/10/2026, 15:51:25
Full ranking
- 66mrglSouth Eastrank #1 · 51.27, 0.52
Modest CAPE under jet streak — elevated convection risk.
CAPE220J/kgshear30m/speak12:00localdeep shear132ktjet96ktdir shear130degrees - 64mrglSwansearank #2 · 51.62, -3.94
Marginal instability — isolated pulse storms possible.
CAPE160J/kgshear37m/speak13:00localdeep shear80ktjet94ktdir shear140degrees - 63mrglCornwallrank #3 · 50.27, -5.05
Marginal instability — isolated pulse storms possible.
CAPE100J/kgshear38m/speak12:00localdeep shear80ktjet94ktdir shear140degrees - 62mrglMidlandsrank #4 · 52.00, -1.00
Modest CAPE under jet streak — elevated convection risk.
CAPE210J/kgshear34m/speak10:00localdeep shear110ktjet71ktdir shear70degrees - 62mrglBelfastrank #5 · 54.60, -5.93
Marginal instability — isolated pulse storms possible.
CAPE100J/kgshear38m/speak04:00localdeep shear120ktjet74ktdir shear94degrees - 59slgtGlasgowrank #6 · 55.86, -4.25
Organised storms possible — line/cluster mode favoured.
CAPE400J/kgshear38m/speak12:00localdeep shear47ktjet47ktdir shear55degrees - 58mrglEast Angliarank #7 · 52.63, 1.30
Modest CAPE under jet streak — elevated convection risk.
CAPE250J/kgshear34m/speak12:00localdeep shear54ktjet106ktdir shear11degrees - 57mrglCambridgerank #8 · 52.20, 0.12
Modest CAPE under jet streak — elevated convection risk.
CAPE210J/kgshear34m/speak11:00localdeep shear54ktjet106ktdir shear11degrees - 56mrglEdinburghrank #9 · 55.95, -3.19
Marginal instability — isolated pulse storms possible.
CAPE280J/kgshear39m/speak12:00localdeep shear47ktjet47ktdir shear55degrees - 50noneWalesrank #10 · 51.48, -3.18
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE80J/kgshear38m/speak13:00localdeep shear80ktjet94ktdir shear140degrees - 38mrglBrightonrank #11 · 50.82, -0.14
Weak instability + weak shear — pulse showers at best.
CAPE180J/kgshear30m/speak12:00localwind atlas data unavailable
- 37noneSouth Westrank #12 · 50.73, -3.53
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE60J/kgshear37m/speak12:00localdeep shear80ktjet94ktdir shear140degrees - 36mrglAberdeenrank #13 · 57.15, -2.09
Weak instability + weak shear — pulse showers at best.
CAPE130J/kgshear38m/speak15:00localwind atlas data unavailable
- 34noneSouth coastrank #14 · 50.90, -1.40
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE90J/kgshear34m/speak10:00localwind atlas data unavailable
- 34noneBristolrank #15 · 51.45, -2.59
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE80J/kgshear34m/speak12:00localwind atlas data unavailable
- 34noneOxfordrank #16 · 51.75, -1.25
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE90J/kgshear33m/speak10:00localwind atlas data unavailable
- 23noneNewcastlerank #17 · 54.97, -1.62
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE40J/kgshear37m/speak14:00localdeep shear110ktjet71ktdir shear70degrees - 15noneInvernessrank #18 · 57.47, -4.22
Insufficient instability for storms — chase elsewhere or wait.
CAPE30J/kgshear42m/speak07:00localdeep shear47ktjet47ktdir shear55degrees